stats and snakeoil

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    2022

  • 2022-01-02
    How much do Newcastle need to improve in January?
  • 2021

  • 2021-11-20
    Should we stop using moving averages?
  • 2021-06-24
    How to estimate team strength from xG totals
  • 2021-06-17
    What can time-discount rates tell us about xG and Goals?
  • 2021-06-09
    Does xG really tell us everything about team performance?
  • 2021-05-18
    understat-db: creating a database of one's own
  • 2021-04-25
    The dumbest xG model
  • 2021-01-24
    Are bad shots actually good?
  • 2020

  • 2020-07-26
    Estimating the disruption to home advantage
  • 2019

  • 2019-01-06
    Predicting the Premier League with Dixon-Coles and xG
  • 2018

  • 2018-10-13
    How to predict a football match (slides)
  • 2018-07-15
    What a diff'rence xG makes
  • 2018-06-22
    Dixon Coles and xG: together at last
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